Many gamblers believe that they lose money and their brilliant invincible systems do not bring them profit due to scams of casinos. However they have an initial systemic bias: There is no system that is invincible in the long run. Well, we have already written a lot about this fact and discussed it in detail, so that we are not going to focus on this feature again. Nevertheless, we want to review a misconception that casinos cheat directly with their software.
1. Software resetOne of the most common myths among gamblers, especially among those who prefer roulette, is a belief that software reset has some benefits. Sometimes gamblers reset casino software, since they believe that this will help them to avoid unsuccessful gaming sessions in the future.
There is a misconception that casino software takes into account the outcomes of previous rounds, so it is necessary to select a strategy taking into consideration this fact. Thus, many fans of gambling believe that they should refresh the casino client program after a certain series to make it behave "normally." In other words, they think that the outcomes will be more balanced, and it will be possible to avoid short-term fluctuations, particularly prolonged series of specific events - color, even-odd, etc.
To be sure, this is nonsense! Random number generators operate and generate outcomes in a completely different way. Such outcomes are independent of each other. So it does not matter whether you won, or lost, or made a break while gambling. Nor the outcomes saved in the history are taken into account. There is not even the slightest reason to believe that software generates the outcomes based on the previous victories or losses.
a) Integrity of casinos
Any casino operator knows that integrity is absolutely necessary, and all emerging patterns and series are supposed to be pure coincidences. Payouts simply correspond to real odds, so it is clear that the casinos anyway will make a profit in the long run.
b) Coin flipping as an example
Imagine that you toss a coin five times in a row and each time heads come up. Do you think that if you stop throwing the coin and continue tomorrow, you will have a higher probability for tails to come up? Would you think that if someone else flips the coin, different outcomes will be observed? This example clearly shows that the coin has no memory. The previous outcomes don't affect new flips. The outcomes are absolutely independent of the fact who throws a coin and whether it is flipped immediately or after a break. There is even no sense in replacing a coin. This will not affect the outcome.
c) Law of large numbers
An unfavorable gaming session can happen at any time. You may be very surprised to have a long series of victories or losses after running a casino application. This is due to the fact that RNGs just generate numbers uniformly and independently of each other. In fact, it does not matter whether you restart the casino application (or even reset your computer) or have been gambling non-stop for a week.
d) Daily Martingale
A good example of the fact that breaks and restarts do not affect the outcome is another misconception of gamblers. According to it, you should win a dozen or two dozens of dollars per day with the help of the traditional Martingale system and stop gambling. This is not true: Someday you will face a sufficiently prolonged series and lose all your money. The reason is simple. In the long run the number of spins is taken into consideration. The time spent on gambling is not so important. So, even if you play a few spins per day, win five dollars, and close the client program, sooner or later the casino will win. And the result of your daily Martingale system will be approximately the same as shown below.
A dramatic fall that is observed in the chart can occur anytime! Well, it does not matter whether you have a week-long gaming session or you restart the client program after each ten spins.
2. Necessity for replacing one system by the other
The next misconception is incredibly stupid. Many gamblers believe that casino software may determine the system used by the gambler, and start resisting it in order to make it inefficient. Thus, these gamblers think that the guarantee of successful and profitable gambling is to change the gaming system as frequently as possible in order to confuse casino software. The reason for such incredibly stupid belief is very simple. Initially, any system can bring profits. However any system fails sooner or later.
- a) Well, we have already made clear that none of the roulette systems are efficient and can be effective in the long run!
- b) The complexity of this "conspiracy theory against all casino gamblers" catches the eye, since it develops from the primary nonsense to even greater stupidity. Let's forget the fact that none of systems are profitable and focus on the second part of the myth. Casino software does not need to recognize any system used by a gambler and then generate "non-system" outcomes. Of course, it is an absolutely useless and complicated way. If software had a task to cheat gamblers (which does not seem to be true), it would not do this in such stupid way. Software manufacturers could just set up the roulette to show the outcomes on which gamblers did not make a bet. And your system is of no interest, since sooner or later you will still lose.
Judging by the first two myths, you can clearly see that the gamblers actually contradict themselves and cannot notice this fact. Misconceptions about the advantages of the client program reset and replacement of gaming systems actually leave in serious doubt the integrity of the gameplay. It seems paradoxically, but such gamblers believe that they can beat roulette in the long run. Just think of this! The casino cheats and it is possible to defeat it! If software is set up in the way that it becomes unfair, there are much easier and effective ways to cheat gamblers. Any restart or replacement of strategies will help gamblers!
3. Phenomenon of beginner's luck
Another very popular myth can be explained by the so-called survivorship bias. Thousands of gamblers start playing roulette. Most of them immediately lose, forget about this, and keep mum. However one of these thousands of beginners is incredibly lucky and wins a lot. He or she gambles and always wins. All spins are successful! The lucky novice gambler wins and wins. He or she gets used to the feeling of victory. When the beginner loses, he or she believes that something wrong was done and the loss was caused by his or her fault. Such cases give rise to legends about the beginner's luck.
This misconception is based on the bias that casino software allows gamblers to win at the beginning in order to get them in and then make them lose much more than they have already won earlier. If software were involved in such activities, it would be very easy to benefit from this fact. You could play until the casino stops trying to lure you. After the first failure you could stop gambling, withdraw your payouts, and select another gambling house. Or it is also possible to register your mom-dad-brother-sister and repeat your profitable cycle. The exact turning point in the game can be easily predicted after the first few sessions. Then it will be possible to beat the casino and win huge amounts of money. If any casino software were really set up as described above, the knowledge of this fact would give you a significant advantage over the gambling establishment!
4. Wagering real money or chips
This myth is very similar to the myth about beginner's luck. A huge number of gamblers believe that training games for chips allow them to win in order to lure them and make them bet real money. We have discussed the meaninglessness of the previous myths, found all their contradictions and explained consequences of any of them. Meanwhile, this myth actually makes sense. Moreover, it has been known that something like that is used in social casino games!
If a gambler has an impression while playing in training mode for chips that he or she wins without any significant effort, he or she will easily make a conclusion to start making real bets. This is a reasonable belief. It is even true, taking into account the fact that the owners of casinos shouldn't even cheat to make profits. It is possible to set up software in favor of the gamblers in training mode, and play fairly in real mode. In this case, the casino will benefit in the long run.
Well, this myth is quite convincing, but it is just a myth. Both training and real modes operate in the same way. And the myth is based on the survivorship bias. What do you think? Do gamblers who have lost in training mode boast their results somewhere? Do you believe that any fan of gambling who has lost in training mode, deposited money and lost again will find this unusual and write about this on the forums? Of course, he or she will not. However if the opposite situation happens, and a gambler loses betting real money after the successful rounds in training mode, most beginners start suspecting that the casino is dishonest and sharing their opinion on the Internet.
Moreover, the arguments of such gamblers are quite amusing! In almost all cases, gamblers who complain about the unfairness of software refer to their own completely ridiculous experience. As a rule, their complaints look like this:
"When I played for chips, I always won. However as soon as I deposited real money, my luck disappeared and I lost everything. It is obvious that the casino cheats!"
"I covered the entire roulette field, except for five numbers, and one of these numbers comes up!!! There is no doubt that software is falsified."
It is really ridiculous and silly to think that such rare examples can confute the statistics. It's like saying that smoking is not detrimental to your health but even useful, because I have a grandfather who smoked two packs of cigarettes per day and celebrated his 100th anniversary. If you want to confirm the integrity of casino software, you should do this in a completely different way!
In fact, psychological pressure on gamblers seems to be the main difference between training mode and real mode. It's one thing to lose worthless chips and quite another is to lose real money. Fear of losing money affects the gambler, so that he or she plays in a different manner compared to training rounds for chips. However there is another reason that explains why casinos cannot cheat in training games. Large and respectable gambling facilities appreciate their reputation.
There are independent organizations, including eCOGRA, iTechLabs, TST, which regularly test software of casinos, which cooperate with them. Therefore, such organizations will not allow abnormalities in their operation to appear. So, if you want to trust a casino where you gamble, search for games with the "Fair Play" certificate issued by the organizations mentioned above. To be sure, the largest software manufacturers, including NetEnt, Microgaming, Playtech, have such certificates.
5. Casino software simply cheats!
- a) We have already talked about the fact that casinos don't benefit from cheating, because they get a guaranteed profit due to the house edge. This business is based on very short-term fluctuations, when there is a substantial probability that a gambler can win and wins quite often.
- b) Almost all online casinos offer multiplayer versions of games where a few gamblers sit at the same table and make different bets on the same event. Imagine a quite possible situation when at the roulette table gamblers make different bets and cover the entire field. How should software act in this case? It is obvious that it does not matter, because in the long run the casinos are satisfied with the profit that equals at least 2.7% of the bets made by all gamblers.
- c) Online casinos used to offer quite favorable bonuses, which contributed to the development of a relatively large independent sector called bonus hunting. It was the systematic abuse of bonuses for generating profits. We know a lot of gamblers who managed to make good money in those days. According to the logic of "the sect of casino cheating witnesses", the gambling houses should combat bonus hunters by manipulating with software and continue to offer profitable bonuses. However nothing like this has happened, the gambling houses have chosen other methods. Most casinos have provided very severe wagering requirements that it has become simply unprofitable to obtain bonuses. Currently, it makes sense to take a bonus for those who just want to gamble as long as possible and enjoy the gameplay without spending their own funds.
- d) In addition, if casino software really cheats, why many current bonuses in many games (blackjack, roulette, etc.) cannot even be wagered! This happens because casinos do not cheat!
- e) Casino Club and perhaps some other gambling facilities used to offer a single blackjack with such rules that allowed being slightly in the black after collecting points. Nowadays, this game has been removed, since it is unprofitable for the gambling establishment.
- f) Some casinos publish monthly reports on payouts in different games. These reports allow us to notice that some casinos finish the month in the red from time to time, i.e., for example, in August Jacks or Better video poker was unprofitable for the casino. How is this possible? Was it impossible for the casino to earn using manipulations with software? For example, take a look at the profitability table for baccarat at one of the gambling houses. As you can see, unprofitable months are not so rare.
- g) If the casino has any software bugs and a gambler succeeds in finding some determinants, which are used to generate the outcome, this will be extremely profitable for the player! The casino will suffer from this, since the bugs found by the player allows him or her to win money at this casino constantly. If you find any of such bugs, this is your great success and a real nightmare for the casino. Take a look at an example of one of such bugs:
"We have noticed something strange: If the bet is either 25 or 250 euros, Jack Hammer video slot pays out more than 100% of the made bets. This lasted for over 2 million rounds. That is why the maximum drawdown reached 200 total bets and the maximum advantage was equal to 500 bets.
We managed to win more than $50,000 in the long run. This bug of the slot machine was discovered accidently and was fixed in the second part of Jack Hammer. So, the slot stopped providing huge winnings. "
To sum up,
we want to emphasize that this article deals with the gambling business as a whole. It is possible that there are idiots who do not understand the counterproductivity of earning on online casinos via cheating and illegal manipulations and use unlicensed software. However they are not discussed in our article.