What to Do if You Have a 12 Against a Dealer's 2? (Blackjack)

Actually, the answer to the question posed by the title of this article is very simple. Any basic strategy table will advise you to hit in this situation. We confirm the correctness of this decision and recommend that you should always play in this way.
However it can be very difficult for novice players to decide for that. They are afraid of getting a ten-value card, which will lead to a bust. Moreover, they think that two ten-value cards will be the next cards in the shoe and provide the dealer with a 22, and them with victories on all boxes. Applying this line of reasoning, many inexperienced players stop following reccomendations of the blackjack basic strategy in this situation.
No wonder their decisions often lead to win, convincing them to have a mind of their own, instead of relying on the mathematically based strategy. It is easy to predict the consequences of such conclusions for customers.
To make it clear why you need to hit if you have a 12 against a dealer's 2, let us analyze in detail the situation.

Odds for Different Outcomes
Please think over the following thing: only four out of the thirteen available cards lead to a bust. So the probability of the continuation of the game after hitting exceeds 60%. If the dealer has a 2, it means that in 35% of cases he will bust, and in 65% of cases he collects from 17 to 21.
Let's just compare. Odds that the next card will lead to a bust are not good. On the other hand, the dealer with a 2 will win almost twice as often as lose.
However all the odds have already been calculated. So, there are the following results:
+ If you stand, the probability of the loss is roughly 65%.
+ If you hit, the probability of the loss is roughly 63%.
The precise results may slightly vary, depending on the rules, but this does not change the general conclusion. It is more beneficial to hit against a dealer's 2 from the mathematical point of view, and mathematics is the main thing in blackjack.
This situation is not initially beneficial for the player, but if he or she hits in this case, he or she will lose less in the long run than in case of standing.
Exceptions to these recommendations are only possible if you count cards and see that there are a lot of ten-value cards, which increase the probability to bust, in the remaining decks. However even in such a situation, it is useful to hit, because the pit bosses can notice those who count cards because of such decisions, which contradict the basic strategy.
Besides, it is sometimes necessary to stand on a 12 against a dealer's 2 during the tournaments in which some special rules are valid. However such nuances are classified as rare occasions, so novice players don't need to stuff their heads with these intricacies. This happens very rarely and your non-standard decision cannot significantly affect the outcome.

What to Do If You Have Two Sixes?
If your hand that is worth 12 consists of two sixes, you must split. Such a decision seems to be difficult for some players. They are afraid to collect either an unprofitable 15 or 16. In fact, if you split sixes, you will lose in 57% of cases, but the probability is better than in cases when you stand or hit.
In this situation, there may be exceptions due to certain features of the rules for the chosen version of blackjack, but we are not going to pay attention to them. In any case, play only the variations of blackjack for which you can select the basic strategy.

How to Play If You Have a Soft 12?
A soft 12 means that you have two aces. Everything is clear in this case: you just need to split. Aces are always split, regardless of the dealer's upcard.

It is almost always (except for very rare cases) necessary to hit on a hard 12 against a dealer's 2. If you have a pair of aces or sixes, you should split without any doubt. Anyway, you should never stand.
Read other recommendations for blackjack on the site en.Casinoz.me if you want to play this game better.

Rating: 7.00 / 10
( votes: 6 )
Date: 2013-04-01

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